mario wrote:If you are either one of those drivers, why would you move to Ferrari? Both have good relations with their current team and both will probably see their current team as their best option for future success, given the variable form of Ferrari over the years.
Ferrari, whether they deserve to be or not (they do not), are still a name. I'll always be more surprised by people rejecting Ferrari than joining them. Not to mention after having drained the life out of first Alonso and now Vettel, there will be the "I'll succeed where they could not" drive. Never underestimate the ego of a F1 star.
Even so, for both drivers I struggle to see what exactly they would gain from switching to Ferrari right now, and think that both drivers are more likely to be motivated by short term potential goals.
In the case of Hamilton, it seems that the bigger lure for him is the possibility of now matching, or perhaps even beating, more of Schumacher's records - he's on the way to a sixth title, putting him within touching distance of equalling Michael's record of seven, and currently just 10 victories away from equalling Schumacher's current record of 91 wins.
There might be the element of "I'll succeed where they could not", and Hamilton has made some comments where he's expressed interest in the idea of driving for Ferrari. However, if ego comes into it, then he'll know that staying at Mercedes also offers him a great chance of either matching or breaking most of Schumacher's records - and being able to say that you've matched the achievements of a driver often hailed as one of the best in the history of the sport is surely an even bigger prize.
As for Verstappen, at Red Bull it is clear that he can bend and shape the team to his will, given the leverage he has over them, and have a degree of influence over the team that Ferrari would almost certainly never allow him to have. His team have one of the great designers of the sport to call upon, and the progress that Honda have been making with their power unit is now forcing many to accept that Honda are becoming much more of a force to be reckoned with than they were in the past.
Furthermore, Verstappen has the luxury of time being on his side, given he's only just turning 22 now - why rush to Ferrari now, given he can afford to spend a few years at Red Bull focussing on building the team around him? If it does work, he could well enjoy more success than he might at Ferrari, and if he doesn't, they'd probably still be open to signing him in the future and he would still be able to enjoy a lengthy career there.
Furthermore, Leclerc is the driver whom Ferrari seem to be building their long term plans, and in more recent races he has shown something of a steelier, and arguably more ruthless, side to his character. To some extent, there might be the potential for increased conflict between their drivers if you paired Leclerc with either Hamilton or Verstappen - particularly the latter, I imagine - that Ferrari might want to avoid, and similarly both Hamilton and Verstappen might find being paired with Leclerc a less palatable option than they might have thought at the start of this season.