I'm happy about the Monza title contender crash not just because it was an epic sporting moment, but because it evened up the championship in terms of them having the points gap they deserve. Let me explain....
Imola: When a safety car affects a result by changing pit strategies, I'm all over how unfair the world is, but when it just bunches people together, it doesn't bother me. Still, if you're going to talk about the luck each contender had, you can't leave this out.
Baku: This is another weird one. Without Verstappen's blowout it's +11 (he got FL) for him, that's easy. But the "standings of justice" depend on how you want to count Hamilton's mistake. I don't want to say it should actually be +25 to Verstappen when the mistake wouldn't have happened without the restart. And it's tempting to just say that because neither scored, we can comfortably call everything okay and move on. But when you step back, you see that with equal luck, Verstappen should have taken away more points. So +11 to Verstappen.
Silverstone: The crash was mostly Hamilton's fault, since he was the one who understeered, i.e., made a driving mistake. But through the corner, Verstappen wasn't going parallel to the track either, so I call it a racing incident. No compensation warranted.
Hungaroring: In the real world we had +16. If we take their qualifying spots to be the likely results of a "just" race, which I will, it should be +10. So that's +6 to Verstappen.
Spa-Francorchamps: Maybe it should've not been considered a race and Verstappen should lose points, but really, I'm fine with what this did to the championship. Brawn was happy to admit that yes, they did effectively give out points for qualifying, and he likes that. I'm more ambivalent than positive about it, but that's fine.
Monza: Verstappen did what he should've done if he wants to be champion, but the crash was still his fault. Hamilton was on the inside and had a right to the corner. I consider second the likely result for a finishing Hamilton, so that's +18 to Hamilton.
So that's a total of 1 point that Hamilton should have more of. But when you consider getting off easy at Imola and the unforced error at Baku, that 1 point doesn't bother me.
Also, yes, I'm not counting mechanical problems, slow pit stops, and other "team things". I don't think you should when the drivers in question are racing for different teams.
Rob Dylan wrote:Mercedes paying homage to the other W12 chassis by breaking down 30 minutes in