It is creating a difficult situation for the FIA, because the scale of the alleged breach - over $10 million - would, if proven to be true, require the FIA to impose the more severe range of sanctions. Those options start with the team having money deducted from their future budget cap allowance, scaling up to having points deducted, being suspended from races and ultimately up to the scale of being excluded from the championship.IceG wrote: ↑01 Oct 2022, 12:10 I wonder if Porsche's sudden change of direction was informed by the cost cap speculation?
If a team were heavily penalised for a significant breach of the cost regulations it would have a material impact of their competitiveness over the coming years, the team's material value, and the kind of reputational damage that would cause engineering talent to leave.
It would also call into question whether the historic achievements of any such team were valid and whether they should stand. Imagine if team X had all their constructor and driver points removed for the 2021 season, and that the points across the season were then reallocated in a manner which changed the outcome of, say, the WDC, even if the former winning driver's team was not guilty of any cost cap breach?
Now, given the events of the 2021 season, it seems extremely likely that the FIA will not want to go down the route of any form of retrospective punishment - indeed, in general the FIA has been very reluctant to ever issue retrospective penalties. However, when making the point about considering the budget cap seriously, Ross Brawn said about the budget cap rules that "This has teeth. If you fraudulently breach the financial regulations, you will be losing your championship. It has serious consequences if teams breach these regulations.". How far might the FIA be prepared to go with any penalty if there was a major breach of the financial regulations?